New Releases by Daniel Kahneman

Many decisions about strategy require that senior executives make evaluative judgments on the basis of extensive, complex information. A disciplined, sequential approach can mitigate common errors and improve the quality of both one-off and recurrent decisions in an array of business domains. The process described in this article is easy to learn, involves little additional work, and (within limits) leaves room for intuition.

A year''s worth of management wisdom, all in one place. We''ve reviewed the ideas, insights, and best practices from the past year of Harvard Business Review to keep you up-to-date on the most cutting-edge, influential thinking driving business today. With authors from Michael E. Porter to Daniel Kahneman and company examples from P&G to Adobe, this volume brings the most current and important management conversations to your fingertips. This book will inspire you to: Reconsider what keeps your customers coming back Create visualizations that send a clear message Assess how quickly disruptive change is coming to your industry Boost engagement by giving your employees the freedom to break the rules Understand what blockchain is and how it will affect your industry Get your product in customers'' hands faster by accelerating your research and development phase This collection of articles includes "Customer Loyalty Is Overrated," by A.G. Lafley and Roger L. Martin; "Noise: How to Overcome the High, Hidden Cost of Inconsistent Decision Making," by Daniel Kahneman, Andrew M. Rosenfield, Linnea Gandhi, and Tom Blaser; "Visualizations That Really Work," by Scott Berinato; "Right Tech, Wrong Time," by Ron Adner and Rahul Kapoor; "How to Pay for Health Care," by Michael E. Porter and Robert S. Kaplan; "The Performance Management Revolution," by Peter Cappelli and Anna Tavis; "Let Your Workers Rebel," by Francesca Gino; "Why Diversity Programs Fail," by Frank Dobbin and Alexandra Kalev; "What So Many People Don’t Get About the U.S. Working Class," by Joan C. Williams; "The Truth About Blockchain," by Marco Iansiti and Karim R. Lakhani; and "The Edison of Medicine," by Steven Prokesch.

عن اتخاذ القرارات الذكية لماذا يقرر بعض المديرين الجيدين قرارات سيئة؛ وكيف يمكنك أن تطور قراراتك إلى الشكل الأفضل؟ إذا لم تكن قرأت شيئًا عن كيفية اتخاذ القرارات، يكفي أن تقرأ هذه المقالات العشر. لقد بحثنا عبر آلاف المقالات في أرشيف مجلة هارفارد لإدارة الأعمال، واخترنا المقالات الأكثر أهمية لمساعدتك ومساعدة مؤسستك على اتخاذ خيارات أفضل، وتجنُّب أي مطبّات على الطريق. سوف تقرأ لخبراء بارزين مثل رام شارانu0003ومايكل مانكنز وثوماس ديفنبورت الذينu0003سيقدمون لك الرأي والمشورة من أجل: • اتخاذ قرارات جريئة تتحدى الوضع القائم. • دعم قراراتك بالبيانات المتنوعة. • تقييم الأخطار والفوائد بدقة متساوية. • معرفة التعليل المنطقي للسبب والنتيجة. • التأكد من صحة قراراتك بالتجريب. • تشجيع النقد البنّاء. • محاربة اللامبالاة من خلال المساءلة الواضحة. إن الأفكار الواردة في هذه المجموعة من المقالات ضرورية لأي مدير طموح. العبيكان 2017

Comment prenons-nous nos décisions ? Qu’est-ce qui guide nos préférences et nos jugements ? Quand faut-il faire confiance à notre intuition ? Tels sont les fils rouges de cet ouvrage, dans lequel Daniel Kahneman nous emmène à la rencontre étonnante des deux « personnages » qui se partagent notre esprit. Le « Système 1 » est rapide, intuitif et émotionnel ; le « Système 2 » est lent, réfléchi et logique. Via de multiples expériences auxquelles le lecteur est invité à s’essayer lui-même, Daniel Kahneman expose les ravages des partis pris et autres biais cognitifs dont nous sommes les jouets : illusion de familiarité, effet de halo, biais optimiste, effet d’ancrage... Fruit de toute une vie de recherche, Système 1 / Système 2 dessine une théorie brillante qui offre des prolongements pratiques immédiats dans la vie quotidienne et professionnelle.

Com prefácio de Daniel Kahneman, autor de "Rápido e devagar" O que devemos fazer para tentar encontrar nossa dose certa de prazer e propósito e organizar nossas vidas promovendo felicidade e realização Em "Felicidade construída", o professor da London School of Economics Paul Dolan, ph.D., combina as mais recentes pesquisas da ciência comportamental com suas experiências pessoais e desenvolve um novo conceito sobre felicidade. Ao contrário das teorias que sugerem uma mudança em nossa maneira de pensar, "Felicidade construída" se baseia na experiência do autor como economista e foca em como agimos no dia a dia. Vivemos numa época em que, a cada minuto, incontáveis estímulos disputam por nossa atenção. No entanto, é preciso saber focar no que de fato nos faz felizes. Os mesmos estímulos — dinheiro, casamento, sexo, peso, o tamanho de nossa casa — podem afetar muito ou pouco nossa felicidade: o que importa é a atenção que você presta a cada um deles.

Un apasionante recorrido por el funcionamiento de la mente de la mano del padre de la psicología conductista y premio Nobel de Economía en 2002: Daniel Kahneman. Daniel Kahneman, uno de los pensadores más importantes del mundo, recibió el premio Nobel de Economía por su trabajo pionero en psicología sobre el modelo racional de la toma de decisiones. Sus ideas han tenido un profundo impacto en campos tan diversos como la economía, la medicina o la política, pero hasta ahora no había reunido la obra de su vida en un libro. En Pensar rápido, pensar despacio, un éxito internacional, Kahneman nos ofrece una revolucionaria perspectiva del cerebro y explica los dos sistemas que modelan cómo pensamos. El sistema 1 es rápido, intuitivo y emocional, mientras que el sistema 2 es más lento, deliberativo y lógico. Kahneman expone la extraordinaria capacidad (y también los errores y los sesgos) del pensamiento rápido, y revela la duradera influencia de las impresiones intuitivas sobre nuestro pensamiento y nuestra conducta. El impacto de la aversión a la pérdida y el exceso de confianza en las estrategias empresariales, la dificultad de predecir lo que nos hará felices en el futuro, el reto de enmarcar adecuadamente los riesgos en el trabajo y en el hogar, el profundo efecto de los sesgos cognitivos sobre todo lo que hacemos, desde jugar en la Bolsa hasta planificar las vacaciones; todo esto solo puede ser comprendido si entendemos el funcionamiento conjunto de los dos sistemas a la hora de formular nuestros juicios y decisiones. Al implicar al lector en una animada reflexión sobre cómo pensamos, Kahneman consigue revelar cuándo podemos confiar en nuestras intuiciones y cuándo no, y de qué modo podemos aprovechar los beneficios del pensamiento lento. Además, ofrece enseñanzas prácticas e iluminadoras sobre cómo se adoptan decisiones en la vida profesional o personal, y sobre cómo podemos usardistintas técnicas para protegernos de los fallos mentales que nos crean problemas. Pensar rápido, pensar despacio cambiará para siempre nuestra manera de pensar sobre cómo pensamos. Reseñas: «Los más entusiastas lo comparan con Galileo y Darwin.» - El Mundo «Considerado uno de los mejores libros de 2011 por The New York Times, The Economist o The Wall Street Journal, Kahneman revela cuándo debemos confiar en nuestras intuiciones para aprovechar los beneficios del pensamiento lento.» - El Economista ENGLISH DESCRIPTION Major New York Times bestseller Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012 Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011 A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title One of The Economist''s 2011 Books of the Year One of The Wall Street Journal''s Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011 2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient Kahneman''s work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis''s The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In the international bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation―each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives―and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.

Thinking, Fast and Slow ...in 30 minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the important lessons on decision-making outlined in the New York Times best seller Thinking, Fast and Slow. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, author Daniel Kahneman gets to the bottom of how to make good decisions and when to trust your intuition. Kahneman wants readers to avoid putting too much weight on acting quickly on their intuition when making decisions. He presents the concept of humans "thinking fast and slow"—the idea that human thought can be divided into two categories: slow and painstaking thought, and quick, intuitive thought. Through detailed research and real-life examples, Thinking, Fast and Slow teaches readers when to apply each type of thought in order to improve everything from playing the stock market to increasing personal happiness. Thinking, Fast and Slow will change the way you think, and improve the quality of your decisions, both large and small. Understand the key ideas of Thinking, Fast and Slow in a fraction of the time, with tools such as: A concise synopsis examining the principles of Thinking, Fast and Slow In-depth analysis of key concepts behind Thinking, Fast and Slow: the two selves, and the two distinct thinking systems—the intuitive System 1 and the effortful System 2 Illustrative case studies demonstrating Kahneman''s groundbreaking research in behavioral economics Real-world applications for applying the theories in Thinking, Fast and Slow to everyday life Critical reception to Thinking, Fast and Slow, highlighting important arguments by major publications and thought leaders As with all books in the 30 Minute Expert Series, this book is intended to be purchased alongside the reviewed title, Thinking, Fast and Slow.

I AT TÆNKE - HURTIGT OG LANGSOMT giver verdens førende nulevende psykolog, Daniel Kahneman, et unikt indblik i den menneskelige hjernes veje og vildveje. Ved at trække på de seneste årtiers fremmeste forskning præsenterer han både øjenåbnende og lattervækkende pointer om den del af vores krop, vi sætter højest og stoler mest blindt på.Men er det nu en god ide? Vidste du for eksempel, at selv garvede dommere idømmer længere fængselsstraffe, hvis de kort inden domsafsigelsen har slået et højt antal øjne med to terninger? Eller at vi beviseligt køber mere sæbe og vaskepulver, hvis vi kort forinden er blevet tvunget til at tænke ‘beskidte’ tanker?AT TÆNKE - HURTIGT OG LANGSOMT er en milepæl i forståelsen af den menneskelige hjerne og menneskelig adfærd generelt - skrevet i en letlæselig og humoristisk tone af en intellektuel og humanistisk sværvægter. “Bogen rummer et sandt overflødighedshorn af aha-oplevelser, dybe indsigter og fascinerende perspektiver på den menneskelige psyke ... Det er virkelig en bog, man bliver klogere af - fuld af fremragende råd om, hvordan man undgår at falde ned i sindets utallige faldgruber.Sjældent har man læst en bog, som i den grad angår ethvert menneske.” - Berlingske Tidende“Det er blevet sagt om dette værk, at det vil blive stående om 100 år som monument over vores tænkning.” - InformationDaniel Kahneman er ubestridt verdens mest betydningsfulde nulevende psykolog. Vinder af Nobelprisen i økonomi i 2002.

Learn why bad decisions happen to good managers—and how to make better ones. If you read nothing else on decision making, read these 10 articles. We’ve combed through hundreds of articles in the Harvard Business Review archive and selected the most important ones to help you and your organization make better choices and avoid common traps. Leading experts such as Ram Charan, Michael Mankins, and Thomas Davenport provide the insights and advice you need to: Make bold decisions that challenge the status quo Support your decisions with diverse data Evaluate risks and benefits with equal rigor Check for faulty cause-and-effect reasoning Test your decisions with experiments Foster and address constructive criticism Defeat indecisiveness with clear accountability

# Kniha byla v prosinci 2012 vybrána Hospodářskými novinami jako NEJLEPŠÍ EKONOMICKÁ KNIHA ROKU 2012! Časopis Respekt ji zařadil mezi "10 knih, které by vás neměly minout." u003e „Je to přelomová kniha v oboru sociálního myšlení, patří do stejné ligy jako Bohatství národů Adama Smithe nebo Výklad snů Sigmunda Freuda.“ u003e– NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB, autor knihy Černá labuť DANIEL KAHNEMAN, nositel Nobelovy ceny za ekonomii, patří k nejvýznamnějším současným psychologům. Jeho myšlenky měly zásadní a široce uznávaný vliv na ekonomii, lékařství nebo politiku, ale až nyní shrnul desítky let svých výzkumů do jediné knihy. Ve svém díle nás Kahneman zavádí na průkopnickou cestu po naší mysli a vysvětluje dva systémy, které určují způsob, jak uvažujeme a jak se rozhodujeme. Systém 1 je rychlý, intuitivní a emocionální. Systém 2 je pomalejší, rozvážnější a logičtější. Kahneman odhaluje mimořádné schopnosti, ale také chyby a zkreslení rychlého myšlení a popisuje například: • všudypřítomný vliv intuitivních dojmů na naše myšlenky a volby, • roli optimismu při zakládání nových podniků, • význam správně formulovaných rizik v práci i doma, • obtížnost předvídání toho, co nás učiní šťastnými v budoucnu, • iluzi znalectví. Každý z těchto jevů lze pochopit, pouze když víte, jak tyto dva systémy ve své vzájemné spolupráci utvářejí naše úsudky a rozhodnutí. Autor čtenáře zapojuje do živého rozhovoru o tom, jak přemýšlíme, a přitom nám odhaluje, kdy můžeme a kdy nemůžeme věřit své intuici a jak lze čerpat z přínosů pomalého myšlení. Nabízí praktické a poučné poznatky o tom, jak vznikají naše rozhodnutí v pracovním i osobním životě – a jak se můžeme pomocí různých metod ochránit před mentálními pastmi, které nás často dostávají do potíží. „Převratná intelektuální událost... Kahnemanova a Tverského práce je zlomovým milník em ve způsobu, jakým jako lidé nahlížíme sami sebe.“ – The New York Times # Více o knize http://melvil.cz/kniha-mysleni-rychle-pomale

Psykologen Daniel Kahneman, som belönats med Ekonomipriset till Alfred Nobels minne för sin banbrytande forskning, anses vara en av vår tids viktigaste tänkare. Hans forskning har haft stort inflytande inom en rad olika områden från ekonomi och psykologi till medicin och politik. Men det är först nu, i Tänka, snabbt och långsamt, som hans idéer blir tillgängliga för en bredare publik. Vill du veta... ...varför det är bättre att ställas inför en domare strax efter lunch än sent på eftermiddagen? ...varför intelligenta kvinnor väljer att att gifta sig med korkade män? ...varför investerare skulle tjäna mer på att ta en dusch än på att byta aktier? Läs succéboken "Tänka, snabbt och långsamt" så får du svaren och mycket, mycket mer. Daniel Kahnemans storverk kommer för evigt att förändra ditt sätt att tänka om hur du tänker. Daniel Kahneman är professor emeritus i psykologi vid Princeton University. Tänka, snabbt och långsamt har getts ut i över trettio länder och har sålt i mer än två miljoner exemplar. "Boken ska helst avnjutas som ett årgångsvin, i små klunkar, så att man hinner smaka på orden, pröva exemplen och begrunda hur det komplexa innehållet långsamt har mognat fram." -Svenska Dagbladet "Daniel Kahnemans bästsäljare gör vår värld samtidigt större och mer begriplig." - Dagens Nyheter "Många har läst och inspirerats av storsäljare som Den tändande gnistan, Freakonomics, Den svarta svanen och Blink. Alla dessa böcker har rottrådar som kan ledas tillbaka till forskning av Daniel Kahneman."-Jan Gradvall, DI Weekend "Inte bara en bok för den som är intresserad av psykologi eller ekonomi, utan för alla som är intresserade av mänskligt tänkande."-Vetenskapsradion, P1

Uma visão inovadora sobre como nossa mente funciona e como tomamos decisões. Daniel Kahneman, ganhador do Prêmio Nobel de Economia por pesquisas que colocam em xeque a ideia de que a nossa tomada de decisões é essencialmente racional, é um dos mais importantes pensadores do século XXI. Suas ideias tiveram um impacto profundo em muitas áreas, incluindo economia, psicologia, medicina e política, mas é a primeira vez que o autor reúne seus muitos anos de pesquisa e pensamento em um único livro. Rápido e devagar: duas formas de pensar apresenta uma visão tão inovadora quanto inquietante sobre como a mente funciona e como as decisões são tomadas. No livro, o autor explica as duas formas como se desenvolvem o pensamento humano: uma é rápida, intuitiva e emocional; a outra, mais lenta, deliberativa e lógica. Kahneman expõe as capacidades extraordinárias — e também os defeitos e vícios — do pensamento rápido e revela o peso das impressões intuitivas no processo de tomada de decisões. O autor revela quando é possível ou não confiar na intuição. Oferece insights práticos e esclarecedores sobre como são tomadas as decisões nos negócios e na vida pessoal, e como se pode usar diferentes técnicas para proteger contra falhas mentais que, muitas vezes, colocam o indivíduo em situações de apuro. Eleito um dos melhores livros de 2011 pelo New York Times Book Review

»Wenn Sie nur ein Buch über unser Denken lesen könnten ...« ZEIT ONLINE Der Bestseller des Nobelpreisträgers Daniel Kahneman schärft den Blick für die blinden Flecke unseres Denkens. Wie treffen wir unsere Entscheidungen? Warum ist Zögern ein überlebensnotwendiger Reflex, und warum ist es so schwer zu wissen, was uns in der Zukunft glücklich macht? Daniel Kahneman, Nobelpreisträger und einer der einflussreichsten Wissenschaftler unserer Zeit, zeigt anhand ebenso nachvollziehbarer wie verblüffender Beispiele, welchen mentalen Mustern wir folgen und wie wir uns gegen verhängnisvolle Fehlentscheidungen wappnen können. Zusammen mit diesem Klassiker ist auch der Nachfolgeband NOISE Pflichtlektüre für Entscheidungsträger. In NOISE widmet sich Daniel Kahneman im Speziellen den Verzerrungen der menschlichen Urteilskraft.

Kahneman ci guida in un''affascinante esplorazione della mente umana e ci spiega come essa sia caratterizzata da due processi di pensiero ben distinti: uno veloce e intuitivo (sistema 1), e uno più lento ma anche più logico e riflessivo (sistema 2).

In this work the author, a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his seminal work in psychology that challenged the rational model of judgment and decision making, has brought together his many years of research and thinking in one book. He explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. He exposes the extraordinary capabilities, and also the faults and biases, of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and behavior. He reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives, and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. This author''s work has transformed cognitive psychology and launched the new fields of behavioral economics and happiness studies. In this book, he takes us on a tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think and the way we make choices.

*Major New York Times Bestseller *More than 2.6 million copies sold *One of The New York Times Book Review''s ten best books of the year *Selected by The Wall Street Journal as one of the best nonfiction books of the year *Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient *Daniel Kahneman''s work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis''s best-selling The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, world-famous psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Topping bestseller lists for almost ten years, Thinking, Fast and Slow is a contemporary classic, an essential book that has changed the lives of millions of readers.

This book brings together the best of current global research on the measurement and understanding of international differences in well-being

The assumption that utility is always maximized allows often surprising inferences about the nature of the desires that guide people''s ever-rational choices. This methodology has had many uses and undeniably has charm for economists, but it rests on the shaky foundation of an implausible and untestable assumption. In this paper we discuss a version of the utility maximization hypothesis that can be tested - and we find that it is false.