New Releases by Jean Fischer

Share all the ways that God watches over us with your little one Illustrated with the adorable Precious Moments art, this sweet little book features rhyming text about all the ways God watches over His children, helping little ones to feel safe and loved. The book takes a child through all the things that happen in a day, accompanied with a prayer, and closes with a sweet poem that reminds children that God is always watching over us, even when we sleep. Complete with scriptures and prayers, this book will be a wonderful addition to every family''s library. Since 1978, Precious Moments has grown into an evergreen brand recognized worldwide, with more than 12.5 million books and Bibles sold through Thomas Nelson. Trim Size: 5 x 7

We develop statistical methods to model ultrafine particle (UFP) counts as a function of size and time using Bayesian functional time-series methods. Because of their small diameter and relatively large surface area, UFPs can penetrate the lung, enter the circulatory system, and deposit in the brain. Health effects of UFPs may be strongly linked to particle size as this characteristic determines which region in the lung the particles deposit. UFP counts can increase by orders of magnitude above natural levels in urban environments from anthropogenic processes such as the operation of combustion engines. Understanding how UFP counts of various sizes change over time near combustion engines and high traffic roadways is crucial in setting idling, vehicle reduction, and vehicle emissions policy. We first propose Bayesian longitudinal functional time series models to understand the impact of engine idling on UFP counts inside school buses. Our approach is a varying coefficient model and we model UFP counts over size at a given time with a cubic B-spline basis. UFP counts across a range of sizes were collected over time during multiple experiments while the bus engines were off and then turned on, making the data multivariate longitudinal. Steady meteorological and background traffic conditions during individual experiments imply that UFP counts over size do not vary greatly with time before the engine is on, but variation in engine-off UFP counts is observed between experiments. We model this using a spline random effect model across all UFP sizes. We allow counts to increase over time at a size dependent rate once the engine is turned on. We explore alternate models for the engine-on increase: a possible jump in counts at engine-on followed by either a quadratic or bent line time trend. A random jump by experiment is also explored. Residuals are modeled with an autoregressive model over time to accommodate correlation over time. To account for larger count variance for smaller particles relative to larger particles, the log residual variance over size bin is modeled using a quadratic B-spline basis. We next propose distinct Bayesian functional time series models to model the how UFP counts change over time near the I-405 roadway. As with the bus experiment, we model UFP counts over size at a given time with a cubic B-spline basis. Our methods allow UFP counts to then change over time at a size bin dependent rate by letting B-spline coefficients evolve over time following a random walk model. This model smooths UFP counts both over size and over time. To account for larger count variance for smaller particles relative to larger particle size bins, the log residual variance over size bin is again modeled using a quadratic B-spline basis. We also explore modeling residuals with an autoregressive model to accommodate correlation over time. In both studies, we provide statistical summaries of how particle counts evolve over time as a function of size bin to estimate the contribution of emissions to UFP counts. We utilize plots to aid in the interpretation of model inferences and make model output interpretable to non-statisticians. Graphs also aid in diagnosis of lack of fit and can help suggest model improvements. Taken jointly, our methods can be used to understand the behavior of UFP counts over size and over time near combustion engines and high traffic roadways.

Unique Women''s Devotional Journal + Scripture Memory Plan Write God''s Word on Your Heart, Starting Today. . . Here is a perfectly inspiring and practical pairing just for you: a devotional journal plus a Bible memory plan! Dozens of thought-provoking readings will speak to your heart, sharing spiritual truths from God''s Word, including topics like: friendship, love, serving, encouragement. . .and many more. Set in a charming one-color design, Written on My Heart is a great reminder to live your best life according to God''s plan. It’s a fabulous book to give as a gift or use for personal quiet time.

"Share the story of God''s greatest blessing with your little ones"--Publisher description.

For spiritual “quality time” with your five- to eight-year-old kids this holiday season, check out Christmas Prayers for Bedtime—going a step beyond the traditional storybook! In 31 easy-to-understand devotional readings, kids will learn to pray about the things most important to them—family, friends, hope, peace, and more—as they see how these topics are addressed in God’s Word. Each chapter is accompanied by full-color illustration and design, making Christmas Prayers for Bedtime an ideal book for learning and fun.

Bestselling Precious Moments(R) brand with a popular bedtime theme. When it''s time to tuck toddlers in for the night, this case-bound, padded board book from the Precious Moments(R) brand celebrates special bedtime moments--splashing in the tub, choosing pajamas, reading a favorite story, and saying good night. These sweet poems remind little ones of how much they are blessed and to say thank You to God for all the day''s blessings Children will be drawn to the soft, inviting illustrations, and parents will appreciate the heartfelt poems and prayers along with the scriptures from the International Children''s Bible(R). Since 1978, Precious Moments has grown into an evergreen brand recognized worldwide, with more than 14.5 million books and Bibles sold through Thomas Nelson. Features & Benefits: Whimsical and nostalgic Precious Moments characters are a favorite of moms and kids alike Includes original and traditional poems and prayers as well as scriptures Bedtime books are extremely popular in the market

Join the Camp Club Girls on a series of clue-filled adventures and cheer them on as they crack the case in this entertaining 3-in-1 story collection. Whether the Camp Club Girls are searching for a missing bag of marbles, investigating peculiar tracks in the sand, or attempting to keep the London Bridge from collapsing, you’ll encounter six charming characters who combine their mystery-solving skills to save the day. More Mysteries from the Camp Club Girls: Get a Clue! Secrets and Surprises

Inspire little ones to pray with this Precious Moments® themed book of prayers. Prayers of thanks, prayers of praise, prayers for school, for mealtime, for bedtime—boys and girls are sure to discover prayers that will become lifetime favorites. Featuring adorable Precious Moments characters, this case-bound, padded board book will be a cherished addition to any child’s library. Children will be drawn to the soft, inviting illustrations, and parents will appreciate the heartfelt prayers and the scriptures from the International Children’s Bible®. Since 1978, Precious Moments has grown into an evergreen brand recognized worldwide, with more than 14.5 million books and Bibles sold through Thomas Nelson.

This fun and fascinating overview of the most important topics in scripture covers people (from Aaron to Zacchaeus), places (from Antioch to Zion), and things (from altars to worship). Each brief, easy-to-read entry provides a clear description of the topic at hand, along with supporting scripture references. Though kids could read and understand it, 199 Bible People, Places, and Things also promises fresh insights even for longtime readers of the Bible. It''s a real value at only $1.99!

Presents an illustrated dictionary providing information on the people, places, things, and concepts of the Bible, as well as an illustrated handbook that looks at the origin, books, and meaning of the Bible.

Want a guide to what’s really important in scripture? Try The Bible Brief, a three-in-one collection of books that highlight the vital details of God’s Word. Here, under one cover, are helpful titles that make God’s Word accessible to any reader: The Bible Brief, spotlighting the most important passages of scripture; 150 Need-to-Know Bible Facts, explaining key concepts of God’s Word; and the easy-to-understand 199 Bible People, Places, and Things. This powerful book will start you on a journey of understanding that can truly change your life!

Join the Camp Club Girls on a series of clue-filled adventures and cheer them on as they crack the case in this entertaining 3-in-1 story collection. Whether the Camp Club Girls are uncovering a decades-old mystery at Camp Discovery Lake, unraveling confusing clues in the nation’s capital, or solving a Wild West who-dun-it, you’ll encounter six charming characters who combine their mystery-solving skills to save the day. More Mysteries from the Camp Club Girls: Secrets and Surprises - Now Available Mixed-Up Mysteries - Available December 2013

Retellings of stories from both the Old and New Testaments, along with children''s devotions.

Elizabeth, Alexis, Bailey, Sydney, Kate, and McKenzie come from different parts of the country and different backgrounds. But when they meet at Camp Discovery, they learn they all share one thing: an aptitude for intrigue! Soon they’re embroiled in a search for lost jewels…and that’s only the beginning! Whether it’s foiling terrorist plots or finding missing millionaires or rescuing sea lions, you’ll love joining the adventure with these precocious preteens, as they pitch in their personal skills to solve the mysteries and save the day! The perfect blend of mystery and mayhem—just for you!

Elizabeth, Alexis, Bailey, Sydney, Kate, and McKenzie come from different parts of the country and different backgrounds. But when they meet at Camp Discovery, they learn they all share one thing: an aptitude for intrigue! Soon they’re embroiled in a search for lost jewels…and that’s only the beginning! Whether it’s foiling terrorist plots or finding missing millionaires or rescuing sea lions, you’ll love joining the adventure with these precocious preteens, as they pitch in their personal skills to solve the mysteries and save the day! The perfect blend of mystery and mayhem—just for you!

Sydney and Elizabeth are on-site in the nation’s capital when odd happenings occur at the Vietnam Memorial. The Camp Club Girls jump into action. They use their special skills to tackle an adventure that leads them not only to Baltimore’s Ft. McHenry, but also to the heart of a terrorist travesty! Can they decipher the clues and save the president before the dawn’s early light?

Hey, kids - here''s a dictionary you''ll actually want to read! The Kids'' Bible Dictionary features 1,000 of the most important words and names from the Bible - from Aaron, Abba, and Abomination to Zacchaeus, Zeal, and Zion. Each definition is written in understandable - even fun - language to help you know your Bible better. Plenty of pictures and a cool, colorful design make Kids'' Bible Dictionary the book for personal reading, school reports, or even stumping your friends with Bible questions.

An abridged version of Johanna Spyri''s classic story of a Swiss orphan who is heartbroken when she must leave her beloved grandfather and their happy home in the mountains to go to school and to care for an invalid girl in the city.

Mu-lan disguises herself as a boy and joins the emperor''s army in this traditional Chinese tale.

An abridged version of the tale of ten-year-old Mary who, after the death of her parents, comes to live in a lonely house on the Yorkshire moors where she discovers an invalid cousin and the mysteries of a locked garden.

A collection of stories that describe different kinds of friendship, taken from familiar novels and from the lives of such people as Harriet Tubman and Helen Keller.

A bestselling author offers preteens and teens the tools they need to develop as leaders before reaching high school or college. This helpful guide covers the topics of influence, priorities, integrity, problem solving, self-discipline, and peer relationships. A cool interior design gives the book an up-to-the-minute look.

Kids learn to apply God''s Word to their everyday lives -- through prayer, Bible facts, stories and Scripture using the NKJV text. The Adventures in Odyssey characters make each devotion fun and applicable to a child''s life. A perfect companion to the Adventures in Odyssey Bible.

Pictures and activities teach children about God and His World. Pages are perforated for easy removel.

Preschoolers learn that God gives us food.