Best Selling Books by Ian Jones

An adventure novel set during the First World War in France. Lucien is 16 and in love. To impress his beloved Marie-Claude he sets out with a horse and cart to rescue an abandoned crop from a First World War battlefield in France. A young Australian soldier, Percy, becomes his ally in this mad quest and they share an encounter with the legendary German fighter ace, The Red Baron. For all of them - Lucien, Marie-Claude, Percy, even for The Red Baron - no other day will ever change their lives as much.

"A saga of the Australian Light Horse in WWI"--Publisher''s website.

Objective: To develop a discrete event simulation of ED patient flow for the purpose of forecasting near-future operating conditions, and to validate the forecasts using several measures of ED crowding. Methods: We developed a discrete event simulation of patient flow using evidence from the literature. Development was purely theoretical, while validation involved patient data from an academic ED. The model inputs and outputs, respectively, are six-variable descriptions of every present and future patient in the ED. We validated the model using a sliding-window design, ensuring separation of fitting and validation data in time series. We sampled consecutive 10-minute observations during 2006 (n= 52,560). The outcome measures all forecast 2, 4, 6, and 8 hours into the future from each observation were the waiting count, waiting time, occupancy level, length of stay, boarding count, boarding time, and ambulance diversion. Forecasting performance was assessed using Pearson''s correlation, residual summary statistics, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: The correlations between crowding forecasts and actual outcomes started high and decreased gradually up to 8 hours into the future (lowest Pearson''s r for waiting count=0.56; waiting time=0.49; occupancy level=0.78; length of stay=0.86; boarding count=0.79; boarding time=0.80). The residual means were unbiased for all outcomes except the boarding time. The discriminatory power for ambulance diversion remained consistently high up to 8 hours into the future (lowest AUC=0.86). Conclusion: By modeling patient flow, rather than operational summary variables, our simulation forecasts several different measures of near-future ED crowding with varying degrees of good performance.

A revolutionary new approach to gardening blends the best of the old and the new to work more intelligently with the laws of life. Produce poison-free fruits and vegetables with 150-500 percent higher vitamin content and 200-600 percent higher yields with fewer, but higher quality inputs.

Revised and re-titled edition of ''The Friendship that Destroyed Ned Kelly'', first published 1992. Examines the friendship between Joe Byrne, lieutenant of the bushranger Ned Kelly''s gang, and Aaron Sherritt, reputed police informer, and the tragic outcome of this friendship. Includes new text, notes, photos, references and index. By the author of ''Ned Kelly: A Short Life'' and ''Joshua, the Man They Called Jesus''.

An examination of how religious identity changed in twentieth-century England, using Birmingham as a case-study to illuminate wider trends.

Beechworth is more closely interwoven with the story of Ned Kelly and the Kelly Outbreak than any other town or city in Victoria. Often described as ''Victoria''s best-preserved gold town'', it also features a remarkable crop of public buildings, churches, shops, hotels and sites that have links with the Kelly story.Surprisingly, the northwestern edges of the town still bring you within a few hundred metres of the landscape in which the Kelly Gang and its supporters thrived and led police on a twenty-month wild goose chase.Joe Byrne, from the nearby Woolshed Valley, became Ned''s best friend and his lieutenant in the Kelly Gang. Another local, Joe''s lifelong mate Aaron Sherritt, would pass into legend unjustly as a traitor - the Judas who betrayed the Gang, to be gunned down by Joe in revenge.News of Aaron''s death, sparked out in Morse code from the Beechworth Post Office, would trigger the Glenrowan siege, the destruction of the Gang and Ned Kelly''s capture after his epic armoured Last Stand.