New Releases by EDITH KUNHARDT

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world’s fastest-growing economy by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future—everything from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts.In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.

Simple text and illustrations describe the homes of various animals including turtles, seals, and ants.

Popeye, Olive Oyl, and Swee''pea race against Bluto to be the first to reach the peak of Pearl Mountain--but they find a surprise at the top.

Text and illustrations describe the rooms, people, and activities in a little girl''s house.

On a cold winter day Mrs. Brisby and her children make a game of remembering their favorite summer smells. Includes eight fragrance labels.

When a family of mice moves to their new home, they find a number of deliciously fragrant items. Scratch and sniff labels are included in illustrations.

The story of Ned''s day is related to the numbers 1 through 12.